Crystal Palace vs Everton

Settled

Premier League · Played Sun, 10 May 2026 · 14:00

Model predicted total corners

10.2

Premier League baseline: 10.5 corners per match.

Crystal Palace vs Everton corners form

Crystal Palace at home

8.8

season avg corners per match

last 5 home matches

151061110

Everton on the road

9.3

season avg corners per match

last 5 away matches

1575119

Crystal Palace vs Everton corners pick

high confidenceWON

over 11.5 corners

Odds 3.70 · edge 65.5% · Kelly stake 2.69% of bankroll

Final: 15 corners · closed at 3.60

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Why Spectral's model likes this Premier League matchup

The model's predicted corner total for this fixture is 10.16, fractionally below the Premier League baseline of 10.5. The confidence tier is high. That classification isn't built on a single input but on a read that holds across the league baseline and both sides' recent corner data.

Crystal Palace's last five fixtures produced corner totals of 15, 10, 6, 11, and 10, with a match average of 8.8. That 6 stands out. The remaining results in the sequence cluster from 10 to 15, which is more representative of what the 8.8 average captures across a wider base. Everton's run reads 15, 7, 5, 11, and 9, averaging 9.3 across those matches. Both sides carry a peak reading of 15 and have results in single digits within this window, so the variance in each sequence is documented; neither side profiles as a structural corner-suppressor on recent data.

The Premier League baseline of 10.5 sets the structural frame. Numbers align here. Team averages of 8.8 and 9.3 don't flag a setup where corners would be systematically scarce, and the league context reinforces a predicted total of 10.16 as a calibrated, not extreme, read. The high-confidence classification follows from the convergence between the league baseline and both sides' recent data, rather than from any isolated spike in one team's figures.

On Spectral's Premier League high-confidence picks, the track record stands at 46 settled with a 32.6% win rate.

Spectral's Premier League corners record

high-confidence record

32.6%

46 settled picks

medium-confidence record

45.8%

83 settled picks

Full Premier League track record →

Crystal Palace vs Everton corners FAQ

When is Crystal Palace vs Everton?
Match was played Sun, 10 May 2026 · 14:00.
What's Spectral's predicted total corners?
Spectral predicted 10.2 corners against a Premier League baseline of 10.5. Final count was 15.
Has Spectral flagged a value pick?
Yes, a high-confidence OVER 11.5 pick at 3.70. Won.
How has Spectral's high-confidence record been in Premier League?
46 settled, 32.6% win rate. See the Premier League hub for the full track record.