Bradford CityvsBolton Wanderers

Bradford City's home corners average across the last five fixtures sits at 10.4, and Bolton arrive averaging 9.6 on the road. Both figures sit below the League One baseline of 11.2. The model lands at 10.88. Medium confidence is the appropriate classification.

Bradford's sequence complicates the read. The last five home fixtures produced 11, 9, 1, 11, 16, a range wide enough to suggest deep inconsistency rather than a stable pattern, and that outlier of 1 drags the average in a way that doesn't cleanly support a higher confidence classification. The 16 at the other end of the sequence is equally informative: this home record doesn't have a consistent floor, and it shows in the confidence tier.

Bolton's road numbers are tighter. Their last five away totals of 11, 9, 8, 7, 13 show a cluster in the lower range that points toward contained away fixtures as the more common mode, but the 13 sits there as a reminder that the pattern isn't locked in. Taken together with Bradford's volatility, the picture across both recent records doesn't support a higher confidence classification.

At 10.88, the model sits below the League One baseline of 11.2, and the variance in the recent records on both sides is what keeps the confidence tier where it is. The model doesn't overclaim. Spectral's medium-confidence record in League One sits at 49.5% across 97 settled picks.