Upcoming fixtures
Spectral hasn't flagged a value pick in the next 12 League One matches yet.
- Peterborough UnitedvsOxford UnitedLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Wycombe WanderersvsHuddersfield TownLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Leicester CityvsBradford CityLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Doncaster RoversvsLeyton OrientLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- AFC WimbledonvsBlackpoolLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Wigan AthleticvsBarnsleyLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Luton TownvsCambridge UnitedLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- StevenagevsMansfield TownLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Milton Keynes DonsvsBurton AlbionLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- BromleyvsNotts CountyLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Sheffield WednesdayvsPlymouth ArgyleLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
- Stockport CountyvsReadingLeague One · Sat 14 Nov · 15:00
Track record
Picks tracked
125
Win rate
49.6%
Yield
-1.6%
P&L (units)
-0.04
On League One. Full history below.
Typical corner market for League One
Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in League One, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.
Median corner line
10.5
flagged picks
Avg predicted total
10.7
all modelled matches
Picks per matchday
13.5
last 30 days
Median edge
20.0%
flagged picks
How we model League One
Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for League One. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.
Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.
The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.