Upcoming fixtures
Spectral hasn't flagged a value pick in the next 30 MLS matches yet.
- TorontovsMontreal ImpactMLS · Sat 10 Oct · 18:00
- Chicago FirevsNew York CityMLS · Sat 10 Oct · 19:30
- New England RevolutionvsSeattle SoundersMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30
- New York RBvsSan DiegoMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30
- Philadelphia UnionvsReal Salt LakeMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30
- Inter MiamivsDC UnitedMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30
- CharlottevsFC DallasMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30
- Atlanta UnitedvsFC CincinnatiMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30
- Orlando CityvsColumbus CrewMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30
- Minnesota UnitedvsHouston DynamoMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 01:30
- Sporting KCvsPortland TimbersMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 01:30
- AustinvsNashvilleMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 01:30
- Colorado RapidsvsSJ EarthquakesMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 02:30
- LAFCvsVancouver WhitecapsMLS · Sun 11 Oct · 03:30
- St. Louis CityvsLA GalaxyMLS · Mon 12 Oct · 00:00
- Columbus CrewvsCharlotteMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30
- TorontovsOrlando CityMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30
- Montreal ImpactvsAtlanta UnitedMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30
- DC UnitedvsNew York RBMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30
- Inter MiamivsNew York CityMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30
- FC CincinnativsNew England RevolutionMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30
- St. Louis CityvsVancouver WhitecapsMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30
- FC DallasvsSeattle SoundersMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30
- Chicago FirevsPhiladelphia UnionMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30
- NashvillevsSporting KCMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30
- Real Salt LakevsSJ EarthquakesMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 02:30
- Colorado RapidsvsMinnesota UnitedMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 02:30
- LAFCvsAustinMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 03:30
- LA GalaxyvsPortland TimbersMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 03:30
- San DiegovsHouston DynamoMLS · Thu 15 Oct · 03:30
Track record
Picks tracked
15
Win rate
53.3%
Yield
-8.0%
P&L (units)
-0.01
On MLS. Full history below.
Typical corner market for MLS
Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in MLS, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.
Median corner line
9.5
flagged picks
Avg predicted total
9.9
all modelled matches
Picks per matchday
—
last 30 days
Median edge
16.3%
flagged picks
How we model MLS
Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for MLS. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.
Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.
The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.