Upcoming fixtures
Spectral hasn't flagged a value pick in the next 22 MLS matches yet.
- Sporting KCvsLA GalaxyMLS · Thu 14 May · 01:30
- Minnesota UnitedvsColorado RapidsMLS · Thu 14 May · 01:30
- FC DallasvsVancouver WhitecapsMLS · Thu 14 May · 01:30
- St. Louis CityvsLAFCMLS · Thu 14 May · 01:30
- Seattle SoundersvsSJ EarthquakesMLS · Thu 14 May · 02:30
- Real Salt LakevsHouston DynamoMLS · Thu 14 May · 02:30
- San DiegovsAustinMLS · Thu 14 May · 02:30
- Montreal ImpactvsChicago FireMLS · Sat 16 May · 21:30
- Orlando CityvsAtlanta UnitedMLS · Sun 17 May · 00:30
- New York RBvsNew York CityMLS · Sun 17 May · 00:30
- CharlottevsTorontoMLS · Sun 17 May · 00:30
- Philadelphia UnionvsColumbus CrewMLS · Sun 17 May · 00:30
- New England RevolutionvsMinnesota UnitedMLS · Sun 17 May · 00:30
- DC UnitedvsSt. Louis CityMLS · Sun 17 May · 00:30
- AustinvsSporting KCMLS · Sun 17 May · 01:30
- Houston DynamovsVancouver WhitecapsMLS · Sun 17 May · 01:30
- Seattle SoundersvsLA GalaxyMLS · Sun 17 May · 02:15
- Real Salt LakevsColorado RapidsMLS · Sun 17 May · 02:30
- San DiegovsFC CincinnatiMLS · Sun 17 May · 02:30
- SJ EarthquakesvsFC DallasMLS · Sun 17 May · 03:30
- Inter MiamivsPortland TimbersMLS · Sun 17 May · 23:00
- NashvillevsLAFCMLS · Mon 18 May · 01:00
Track record
Picks tracked
15
Win rate
53.3%
Yield
-8.0%
P&L (units)
-0.01
On MLS. Full history below.
Typical corner market for MLS
Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in MLS, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.
Median corner line
9.5
flagged picks
Avg predicted total
9.8
all modelled matches
Picks per matchday
—
last 30 days
Median edge
16.3%
flagged picks
How we model MLS
Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for MLS. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.
Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.
The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.