Upcoming fixtures
Spectral hasn't flagged a value pick in the next 22 MLS matches yet.
- Orlando CityvsFC CincinnatiMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30
- Atlanta UnitedvsNew York RBMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30
- CharlottevsColumbus CrewMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30
- TorontovsNew England RevolutionMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30
- Montreal ImpactvsDC UnitedMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30
- Houston DynamovsLA GalaxyMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 01:30
- NashvillevsInter MiamiMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 01:30
- Colorado RapidsvsSporting KCMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30
- Real Salt LakevsMinnesota UnitedMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30
- LAFCvsSan DiegoMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 03:30
- SJ EarthquakesvsSt. Louis CityMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 03:30
- New York CityvsPhiladelphia UnionMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 23:00
- Chicago FirevsPortland TimbersMLS · Sun 16 Aug · 23:00
- AustinvsFC DallasMLS · Mon 17 Aug · 01:30
- Seattle SoundersvsVancouver WhitecapsMLS · Mon 17 Aug · 03:30
- Orlando CityvsChicago FireMLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30
- TorontovsCharlotteMLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30
- Philadelphia UnionvsInter MiamiMLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30
- FC CincinnativsNew York CityMLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30
- New York RBvsNashvilleMLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30
- DC UnitedvsNew England RevolutionMLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30
- Columbus CrewvsMontreal ImpactMLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30
Track record
Picks tracked
15
Win rate
53.3%
Yield
-8.0%
P&L (units)
-0.01
On MLS. Full history below.
Typical corner market for MLS
Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in MLS, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.
Median corner line
9.5
flagged picks
Avg predicted total
9.9
all modelled matches
Picks per matchday
—
last 30 days
Median edge
16.3%
flagged picks
How we model MLS
Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for MLS. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.
Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.
The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.