Upcoming fixtures
Spectral hasn't flagged a value pick in the next 9 Ligue 1 matches yet.
- LensvsOlympique LyonnaisLigue 1 · Fri 9 Oct · 19:45
- LillevsLe HavreLigue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 16:15
- MonacovsToulouseLigue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45
- LorientvsParisLigue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45
- BrestvsAngers SCOLigue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45
- PSGvsLe MansLigue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45
- NicevsStrasbourgLigue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00
- RennesvsAuxerreLigue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 16:15
- TroyesvsOlympique MarseilleLigue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 19:45
Track record
Picks tracked
23
Win rate
47.8%
Yield
+11.3%
P&L (units)
+0.06
On Ligue 1. Full history below.
Typical corner market for Ligue 1
Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in Ligue 1, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.
Median corner line
9.5
flagged picks
Avg predicted total
9.7
all modelled matches
Picks per matchday
—
last 30 days
Median edge
11.6%
flagged picks
How we model Ligue 1
Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for Ligue 1. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.
Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.
The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.