Ligue 1

France

Spectral's statistical model covers Ligue 1 corners markets, flagging value bets where the model's implied probability disagrees with bookmaker odds. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and, once settled, counted in the track record below — free and paid, wins and losses. Nothing retrofitted, nothing cherry-picked.

Monitoring Ligue 1 since February 2026 · 63 settled bets on record · +5.1% yield

Upcoming fixtures

No fixtures scheduled in the next 14 days.

Track record

Picks tracked

63

Win rate

47.6%

Yield

+5.1%

P&L (units)

+0.04

On Ligue 1. Full history below.

Recent results

Last 16 settled Ligue 1 fixtures — verdicts shown where Spectral flagged a value pick.

Typical corner market for Ligue 1

Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in Ligue 1, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.

Median corner line

9.5

flagged picks

Avg predicted total

9.6

all modelled matches

Picks per matchday

3.8

last 30 days

Median edge

14.8%

flagged picks

How we model Ligue 1

Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for Ligue 1. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.

Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.

The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.

Get Ligue 1 picks as they go live

Spectral subscribers receive value picks with recommended stake sizing before each matchday.

See pricing