Upcoming fixtures
No fixtures scheduled in the next 14 days.
Track record
Picks tracked
144
Win rate
45.1%
Yield
+5.7%
P&L (units)
+0.16
On La Liga. Full history below.
Typical corner market for La Liga
Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in La Liga, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.
Median corner line
9.5
flagged picks
Avg predicted total
9.6
all modelled matches
Picks per matchday
—
last 30 days
Median edge
19.6%
flagged picks
How we model La Liga
Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for La Liga. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.
Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.
The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.