Upcoming fixtures
No fixtures scheduled in the next 14 days.
Track record
Picks tracked
93
Win rate
43.0%
Yield
+6.3%
P&L (units)
+0.08
On Championship. Full history below.
Recent results
Last 2 settled Championship fixtures — verdicts shown where Spectral flagged a value pick.
- SouthamptonvsMiddlesbroughTue 12 May · 20:00Over 11.5 corners +78.0% edge @ 3.00 · medium confidenceWon
- MillwallvsHull CityMon 11 May · 20:00Under 8.5 corners +103.4% edge @ 3.55 · medium confidenceLost
Typical corner market for Championship
Computed from Spectral's own pipeline — the typical lines our model faces in Championship, the match totals it predicts, and the edge profile of the picks it flags.
Median corner line
10.5
flagged picks
Avg predicted total
10.2
all modelled matches
Picks per matchday
3.0
last 30 days
Median edge
12.5%
flagged picks
How we model Championship
Corners prediction uses a Poisson regression trained separately for Championship. Every league has its own tempo, refereeing style, and variance profile, so a model calibrated on one doesn't transfer cleanly to another — we retrain per-league and recalibrate as new matches settle.
Once the model produces a probability for each corners line, we compare it against live bookmaker odds. Where the implied probability is meaningfully lower than ours (the edge), we flag a value bet. Pick sizing follows a Kelly fraction scaled by our confidence tier, capped for bankroll safety.
The full write-up — features, calibration method, overdispersion handling, and league-specific bias correction — lives on the methodology page. Historical accuracy for every league Spectral covers is tracked publicly on /track-record.