IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården

Numbers diverge sharply here. IFK Göteborg's home matches have produced a 12.4 corner average across the last five, with four of those games reaching between 14 and 17, while Djurgården carry a 10.6 away average built from individual totals of 7, 7, 9, 3, and 10, a sequence that sits at the SE league baseline of 10.6 without ever threatening to push meaningfully above it.

The model lands at 10.51. That figure sits fractionally below the SE league baseline of 10.6, the product of Göteborg's elevated home environment pulling against Djurgården's consistently compressed away output. Neither input is strong enough to shift the projection far from centre, and the model's output reflects that balance without forcing a clear lean. Medium confidence follows from that structural ambiguity.

Uncertainty deepens on closer inspection. Göteborg's home data contains a single result of 8 alongside a sequence of 14, 14, 16, and 17, a variance range that makes 12.4 a credible average but a poor predictor of any individual game total. Djurgården's away floor sits as low as 3 in this sample, their ceiling as high as 10, meaning the distribution is flat and offers no reliable anchor.

Classification matters here. The medium confidence tier isn't elevated because one dataset looks compelling, and Spectral applies it consistently across all picks in this league regardless of matchup profile.

**SE medium-confidence record:** 1 settled, 0.0% win rate.